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This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
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The medieval in the modern world is here explored in a variety of media, from film and book to gaming.
This book is the result of my inquiry into how this family and the places they lived influenced each other over 400 years in seven countries on four continents. I have been collecting bits and pieces about the family history for as long as I can remember. There is a family storytrue according to my Aunt Lucille who was therethat Big Daddy (my grandfather) received a letter stating that he could, by moving to Ireland, assume the inheritance of a castle. He decided not to, stating that his family was American, and the subject was closed. Nobody now has any idea where the castle was or any of the real circumstances. There is also a story, probably apocryphal, that Andrew and his brother had taken an adventurous trip across the United States (when they couldnt steal horses, they walked), went back to Ireland, and then emigrated. This is my attempt to record what I have found out and what I remember about the Coughran family history.
This is an international publication exploring early modern cultural exchange between Britain and Savoy, including political, diplomatic, social, religious and artistic trends.
A comprehensive examination of the full range of Carmen Martín Gaite's work. Carmen Martín Gaite produced a large body of work in various genres over the course of her five-decade career, though she is primarily known as a novelist, short story writer, and social commentator. Her work at times reflects, and at times defies, the pattern of development in Spanish fiction since the 1950s. This Companion offers a re-reading of Martín Gaite's works, emphasizing her early experimentalism which culminated in mid-career works (notably El cuarto de atrás), and stressing how, in the late 1960s and early 1970s when the majority of Spanish novelists were engaged in a critique of history, Martín Gai...