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Principles of Forecasting
This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Growth Points in Cognition
‘Cognition’ is not so much a field as a forest. It presents the newcomer with an immense wealth of detail: theories, models, terms and findings that are entangled and sometimes seemingly impenetrable. There is plenty of new growth – of which some will thrive and some will not. And a lot of dead wood too, some recognised and some not. How is the student to begin to make sense of all this? Originally published in 1988, Growth Points in Cognition provided a much-needed perspective, presenting those key topics in cognitive psychology that were likely to shape the development of the subject over the next decade. The contributors discuss important areas of cognition such as perception, action, memory, comprehension and problem-solving, and examine the increasingly fruitful interplay between cognition and the allied fields of neuropsychology, cross-cultural psychology, and development. Today it can be read in its historical context.
Judgment and Decision Making as a Skill
Identifies how human judgment and decision making may evolve, develop and be learned or trained.
Imagination, Philosophy and the Arts
Imagination, Philosophy and the Arts is the first comprehensive collection of papers by philosophers examining the nature of imagination and its role in understanding and making art. Imagination is a central concept in aesthetics with close ties to issues in the philosophy of mind and the philosophy of language, yet it has not received the kind of sustained, critical attention it deserves. This collection of seventeen brand new essays critically examines just how and in what form the notion of imagination illuminates fundamental problems in the philosophy of art.
Judgement and Choice: Perspectives on the Work of Daniel Kahneman
The work of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky has transformed the study of judgment and decision-making, and penetrated related disciplines such as economics, finance, marketing, law and medicine. In recognition of these achievements, Kahneman was awarded the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2003. This special issue presents ongoing research inspired by both Kahneman and Tversky. It covers many of the central themes the heuristics and biases of judgment and prediction, framing effects, assessments and predictions of utility that made their work so innovative. The specially written papers illustrate the range and depth of this work, and emphasise its continued relevance to current research.
Business Forecasting
Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performa...
The St. Lucia Island Club
When retired Southern sheriff-turned-New York City detective John Le Brun and his wife, Lordis, set sail in 1910 for a long-awaited honeymoon on the Caribbean island of St. Lucia, they expect to find relaxation in paradise. However, they soon discover they’ve been lured to the island in part to tout its attributes as a burgeoning vacation retreat to wealthy investors back home. Instead of finding tranquility among the tropical isle’s quaint villages and sandy beaches, they encounter a land teeming with racial, social, and economic tension. The brutal murders of a local plantation owner’s family find John putting his renowned detective skills to use, with Lordis readily playing assistan...
Judgment in Predictive Analytics
This book highlights research on the behavioral biases affecting judgmental accuracy in judgmental forecasting and showcases the state-of-the-art in judgment-based predictive analytics. In recent years, technological advancements have made it possible to use predictive analytics to exploit highly complex (big) data resources. Consequently, modern forecasting methodologies are based on sophisticated algorithms from the domain of machine learning and deep learning. However, research shows that in the majority of industry contexts, human judgment remains an indispensable component of the managerial forecasting process. This book discusses ways in which decision-makers can address human behavior...
The Mind in Action
Cognitive science – which draws on ideas from psychology, philosophy, linguistics and artificial intelligence (AI) – attempts to explain our mental life within a scientific framework. Its goal is, thus, to remove the last major obstacle to a unified scientific account of the natural world. In this title, originally published in 1991, Alan Garnham provides an invaluable introduction to this exciting new development in the study of mind. The Mind in Action focuses on the development of a systematic explanation of cognition, rather than on facts about the way we perceive things, remember them, talk about them, think about them, and interact with them. The author looks in detail at the natur...
Sold Out
Retail veteran Bill Grimsey lifts the lid on who killed the High Street. And it's not who you think! If you are at all serious about making your High Street a better place, the solution starts here.
