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Risk-Neutral Valuation
This second edition - completely up to date with new exercises - provides a comprehensive and self-contained treatment of the probabilistic theory behind the risk-neutral valuation principle and its application to the pricing and hedging of financial derivatives. On the probabilistic side, both discrete- and continuous-time stochastic processes are treated, with special emphasis on martingale theory, stochastic integration and change-of-measure techniques. Based on firm probabilistic foundations, general properties of discrete- and continuous-time financial market models are discussed.
Probability and Finance
Provides a foundation for probability based on game theory rather than measure theory. A strong philosophical approach with practical applications. Presents in-depth coverage of classical probability theory as well as new theory.
Hyperbolic Dynamics, Fluctuations and Large Deviations
This volume contains the proceedings of the semester-long special program on Hyperbolic Dynamics, Large Deviations and Fluctuations, which was held from January-June 2013, at the Centre Interfacultaire Bernoulli, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland. The broad theme of the program was the long-term behavior of dynamical systems and their statistical behavior. During the last 50 years, the statistical properties of dynamical systems of many different types have been the subject of extensive study in statistical mechanics and thermodynamics, ergodic and probability theories, and some areas of mathematical physics. The results of this study have had a profound effect on many different areas in mathematics, physics, engineering and biology. The papers in this volume cover topics in large deviations and thermodynamics formalism and limit theorems for dynamic systems. The material presented is primarily directed at researchers and graduate students in the very broad area of dynamical systems and ergodic theory, but will also be of interest to researchers in related areas such as statistical physics, spectral theory and some aspects of number theory and geometry.
Classic Problems of Probability
Winner of the 2012 PROSE Award for Mathematics from The American Publishers Awards for Professional and Scholarly Excellence. "A great book, one that I will certainly add to my personal library." —Paul J. Nahin, Professor Emeritus of Electrical Engineering, University of New Hampshire Classic Problems of Probability presents a lively account of the most intriguing aspects of statistics. The book features a large collection of more than thirty classic probability problems which have been carefully selected for their interesting history, the way they have shaped the field, and their counterintuitive nature. From Cardano's 1564 Games of Chance to Jacob Bernoulli's 1713 Golden Theorem to Parro...
Philosophical Lectures on Probability
Bruno de Finetti (1906–1985) is the founder of the subjective interpretation of probability, together with the British philosopher Frank Plumpton Ramsey. His related notion of “exchangeability” revolutionized the statistical methodology. This book (based on a course held in 1979) explains in a language accessible also to non-mathematicians the fundamental tenets and implications of subjectivism, according to which the probability of any well specified fact F refers to the degree of belief actually held by someone, on the ground of her whole knowledge, on the truth of the assertion that F obtains.
Rough Volatility
Volatility underpins financial markets by encapsulating uncertainty about prices, individual behaviors, and decisions and has traditionally been modeled as a semimartingale, with consequent scaling properties. The mathematical description of the volatility process has been an active topic of research for decades; however, driven by empirical estimates of the scaling behavior of volatility, a new paradigm has emerged, whereby paths of volatility are rougher than those of semimartingales. According to this perspective, volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with a small Hurst parameter. The first book to offer a comprehensive exploration of the subject, Rough Volatility...
